So I'll be taking a miss on the trades, however, I will post my model's current valuations of the to-win contracts, along with projected points totals:

1. Arsenal: 41% (89 pts)
2. Man Utd: 35% (90 pts)
3. Blackburn: 7% (74 pts)
4. Man City: 6% (75 pts)
5. Chelsea: 3% (69 pts)
6. Portsmouth: 3% (69 pts)
7. Liverpool: 3% (65 pts)
8. Newcastle: 0.8% (55 pts)
9. Villa: 0.7% (56 pts)
10. WHam: 0.3% (49 pts)
11. Everton: 0.2% (48 pts)
12. Reading: 0.1% (46 pts)
13. Small Heath: 0.02% (38 pts)
14. Sunderland: 0.01% (32 pts)
15. Fulham: 0.01% (31 pts)
16. Spurs: 0.01% (32 pts)
17. Boro: 0.01% (29 pts)
18. Wigan: 0.01% (29 pts)
19. Bolton: 0.000001% (24 pts)
20. Derby: 0.000001% (24 pts)

30 points for safety...